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Davante Adams

Davante Adams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Davante Adams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (-117/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 54.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 53.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Rams to be the 5th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 62.3% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.6 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • In this game, Davante Adams is predicted by the projection model to position himself in the 95th percentile among wideouts with 9.8 targets.
  • Davante Adams has accrued many more air yards this year (108.0 per game) than he did last year (84.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 8-point advantage, the Rams are a huge favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of an emphasis on running than their standard approach.
  • The Rams have run the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 54.4 plays per game.
  • The Los Angeles Rams offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • Davante Adams has put up quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (61.0) this year than he did last year (79.0).
  • Davante Adams's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 63.1% to 55.0%.

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