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Davante Adams

Davante Adams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Los Angeles Rams vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Davante Adams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-128/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 59.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 63.5 @ -128.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 4th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (64.3% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Rams.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Rams are projected by the projection model to run 65.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-most on the slate this week.
  • The weather report calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The model projects Davante Adams to total 9.4 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among wideouts.
  • Davante Adams has totaled many more air yards this year (112.0 per game) than he did last year (84.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 6.5-point advantage, the Rams are favored in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their usual game plan.
  • As it relates to pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams grades out as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Davante Adams has compiled quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (59.0) this year than he did last year (79.0).
  • Davante Adams's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 63.1% to 52.3%.
  • Davante Adams's talent in generating extra yardage have diminished this year, notching a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 5.41 figure last year.

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