Davante Adams Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Davante Adams

NFL · Player Props

Davante Adams

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 17, 2023

Updated Jan 1, 2024 12:56 AM EST

Analysis

Davante Adams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (+108/-139).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 65.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 69.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A throwing game script is implied by the Raiders being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
This week, Davante Adams is projected by the projection model to rank in the 99th percentile among WRs with 11.6 targets.
Davante Adams's 83.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 75.0.
When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Las Vegas Raiders grades out as the 7th-best in football this year.

Favors Under

At the moment, the 7th-least pass-focused offense in the league (57.3% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Las Vegas Raiders.
The projections expect the Raiders to be the 4th-most sluggish paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 28.57 seconds per play.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.7 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.
After averaging 124.0 air yards per game last season, Davante Adams has posted significant losses this season, currently averaging 116.0 per game.
Davante Adams's 68.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year signifies a noteable diminishment in his pass-catching skills over last year's 89.0 rate.

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