Davante Adams Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Davante Adams

NFL · Player Props

Davante Adams

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 9:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Davante Adams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Raiders are a giant 9.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The projections expect Davante Adams to total 11.2 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 99th percentile among WRs.
When it comes to air yards, Davante Adams grades out in the lofty 99th percentile among wide receivers this year, averaging a remarkable 126.0 per game.
Davante Adams's 82.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive volume) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 75.0.

Favors Under

At the present time, the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense in football (55.7% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Las Vegas Raiders.
Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Raiders are forecasted by the predictive model to run just 63.4 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-fewest among all teams this week.
The Raiders have run the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 53.7 plays per game.
Opposing teams teams have been wary to pass too much against the Chiefs, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 31.0 per game) this year.
Davante Adams has compiled significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (71.0) this year than he did last year (89.0).

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