My Account Log Out
 
 
Darren Waller

Darren Waller Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Miami Dolphins vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Darren Waller Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+240/-295).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +265 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +240.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is suggested by the Dolphins being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 62.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • At the present time, the 6th-most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (59.7% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Dolphins.
  • Darren Waller has been responsible for a colossal 27.1% of his offense's air yards this year: 100th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • With a terrific 91.0% Adjusted Catch Rate (96th percentile) this year, Darren Waller rates as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the league among TEs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Dolphins are projected by our trusted projection set to call just 61.5 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Dolphins have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 49.8 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Chargers, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 31.2 per game) this year.
  • Our trusted projections expect Darren Waller to be a less important option in his team's pass game near the end zone in this game (16.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (23.1% in games he has played).
  • In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Miami Dolphins ranks as the worst in football this year.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™