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Darren Waller Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Cleveland Browns vs Miami Dolphins

Darren Waller Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -100 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 10th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (62.2% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Dolphins.

The model projects Darren Waller to garner 5.7 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to tight ends.

With a remarkable 85.9% Adjusted Completion Rate (86th percentile) this year, Darren Waller has been among the most reliable receivers in the NFL among TEs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dolphins are projected by the model to call only 62.2 total plays in this game: the 4th-lowest number among all teams this week.

The Dolphins have called the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 49.8 plays per game.

The weather report calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 29.5 per game) this year.

When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Miami Dolphins ranks as the 2nd-worst in football this year.

More Darren Waller Player Props

Darren Waller ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 7

Cleveland Browns vs Miami Dolphins

Darren Waller Receptions
Player Prop Week 7