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Darren Waller

Darren Waller Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Miami Dolphins vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Darren Waller Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is suggested by the Dolphins being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 62.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • In this week's contest, Darren Waller is projected by our trusted projection set to place in the 88th percentile among tight ends with 5.6 targets.
  • With a terrific 91.0% Adjusted Catch Rate (96th percentile) this year, Darren Waller rates as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the league among TEs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Dolphins are projected by our trusted projection set to call just 61.5 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Dolphins have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 49.8 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Chargers, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 31.2 per game) this year.
  • In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Miami Dolphins ranks as the worst in football this year.
  • Since the start of last season, the stout Chargers defense has surrendered a puny 74.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 10th-lowest rate in football.

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