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Darren Waller

Darren Waller Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Carolina Panthers vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Darren Waller Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+145/-190).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -175 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -190.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects Darren Waller to garner 5.0 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • The Carolina Panthers pass defense has yielded the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (80.1%) to tight ends since the start of last season (80.1%).
  • The Panthers linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 59.1% rate of throwing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 9th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL has been the Miami Dolphins.
  • The predictive model expects the Dolphins to run the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 59.0 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The 4th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Miami Dolphins this year (just 49.8 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.
  • When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the ramifications it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Miami Dolphins profiles as the 2nd-worst in the league this year.

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