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Darren Waller

Darren Waller Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

San Francisco 49ers vs New York Giants

Darren Waller Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Giants are a giant 10.5-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.

Opposing QBs have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in football.

THE BLITZ projects Darren Waller to total 6.3 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 96th percentile among TEs.

THE BLITZ projects Darren Waller to be much more involved in his offense's passing game this week (21.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (15.5% in games he has played).

Darren Waller has been among the best TE receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 3.7 receptions per game while ranking in the 88th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 59.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has yielded the 4th-lowest Completion% in the league (65.9%) vs. tight ends since the start of last season (65.9%).

The San Francisco 49ers safeties rank as the 8th-best unit in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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