My Account Log Out

reorder

Darren Waller

Darren Waller Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants

Darren Waller Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a focus on passing than their normal game plan.

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Giants are expected by our trusted projection set to call 66.7 total plays in this contest: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

In this game, Darren Waller is predicted by the predictive model to slot into the 88th percentile among tight ends with 5.6 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 58.6% rate of throwing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 7th-least pass-centric offense in football has been the New York Giants.

Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Saints, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 34.4 per game) this year.

As it relates to protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the New York Giants profiles as the worst in the league this year.

The Saints pass defense has given up the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (67.9%) versus TEs this year (67.9%).

The Saints linebackers profile as the 8th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

More Darren Waller Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™