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Darren Waller

Darren Waller Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Carolina Panthers vs Miami Dolphins

Darren Waller Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-115/-118).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects Darren Waller to garner 5.0 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

The Carolina Panthers pass defense has yielded the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (80.1%) to tight ends since the start of last season (80.1%).

Since the start of last season, the feeble Panthers defense has been torched for the most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing tight ends: a colossal 9.47 yards.

The Panthers linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 59.1% rate of throwing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 9th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL has been the Miami Dolphins.

The predictive model expects the Dolphins to run the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 59.0 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The 4th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Miami Dolphins this year (just 49.8 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the ramifications it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Miami Dolphins profiles as the 2nd-worst in the league this year.

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