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Darren Waller Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Miami Dolphins vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Darren Waller Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-106/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins are a 5.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.

The leading projections forecast Darren Waller to earn 4.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 78th percentile among TEs.

Darren Waller has totaled a colossal 46.0 air yards per game this year: 95th percentile among tight ends.

Darren Waller's 39.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive usage) grades out among the best in the NFL: 92nd percentile for TEs.

With an outstanding 36.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (81st percentile) this year, Darren Waller stands as one of the leading pass-catching tight ends in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Dolphins to pass on 54.8% of their chances: the 9th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have only 124.5 offensive plays called: the fewest among all games this week.

The lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Miami Dolphins this year (a measly 51.9 per game on average).

When talking about pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Dolphins ranks as the worst in the league this year.

Darren Waller ranks as one of the bottom tight ends in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 2nd percentile.

More Darren Waller Player Props

Darren Waller Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 17

Miami Dolphins vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Darren Waller Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17