My Account Log Out
 
 
Darren Waller

Darren Waller Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Darren Waller Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-112/-112).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dolphins are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in the league.
  • Darren Waller has notched a staggering 40.0 air yards per game this year: 88th percentile among tight ends.
  • Darren Waller's 31.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive volume) ranks among the best in the league: 83rd percentile for TEs.
  • Darren Waller grades out as one of the best pass-catching TEs this year, averaging a fantastic 37.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 79th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins to pass on 57.5% of their opportunities: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to have just 125.8 total plays called: the fewest out of all the games this week.
  • The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 52.4 plays per game.
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the influence it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Miami Dolphins profiles as the worst in the league this year.
  • Darren Waller ranks as one of the weakest TEs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 1st percentile.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™