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Darren Waller

Darren Waller Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

New York Giants vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Darren Waller Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-130/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being called for in this game) typically prompt better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • The leading projections forecast Darren Waller to total 6.5 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 94th percentile among tight ends.
  • Darren Waller has accumulated a massive 63.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 97th percentile among TEs.
  • Darren Waller's 38.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the league leaders: 92nd percentile for tight ends.
  • Darren Waller has been among the best pass-catching TEs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 50.0 yards per game while checking in at the 97th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the New York Giants to pass on 56.3% of their plays: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Giants offensive line ranks as the worst in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
  • Darren Waller's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% falling off from 68.2% to 61.4%.
  • Darren Waller's receiving effectiveness has declined this season, accumulating a measly 7.30 yards-per-target vs a 9.78 figure last season.

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