Darrell Henderson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Darrell Henderson

NFL · Player Props

Darrell Henderson

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Rushing Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 11:25 PM UTC

Analysis

Darrell Henderson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 55.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 60.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Rams are an enormous 10.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the 4th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Darrell Henderson to garner 15.5 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking in the 91st percentile among RBs.
Darrell Henderson has received 57.8% of his team's carries since the start of last season, ranking in the 88th percentile among RBs.
The Los Angeles Rams offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in football since the start of last season at run-game blocking.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 7th-least run-centric offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 36.0% run rate.
The Los Angeles Rams have run the 10th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a mere 61.4 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Darrell Henderson has been among the bottom RBs in football at grinding out extra ground yardage, averaging a lowly 2.51 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while ranking in the 13th percentile.
The Los Angeles Rams have risked going for it on 4th down a lowly 14.7% of the time since the start of last season (4th-least in football), which usually means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.

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