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Darnell Mooney Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

New England Patriots vs Atlanta Falcons

Darnell Mooney Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+315/-370).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -500 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -370.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Falcons are a 5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.

The Falcons have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 59.0 plays per game.

Darnell Mooney has notched a monstrous 76.0 air yards per game this year: 80th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Falcons profiles as the 8th-best in the NFL this year.

This year, the shaky New England Patriots defense has been torched for a colossal 75.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 8th-largest rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 3rd-least pass-focused offense in football (57.8% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Atlanta Falcons.

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Falcons are forecasted by the projection model to call just 62.4 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week.

While Darnell Mooney has accounted for 23.1% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a much smaller part of Atlanta's pass game near the end zone in this week's game at 15.8%.

Darnell Mooney's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 62.7% to 46.3%.

Darnell Mooney has not caught any touchdowns this year.

More Darnell Mooney Player Props

Darnell Mooney TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 9

New England Patriots vs Atlanta Falcons

Darnell Mooney Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9