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Darnell Mooney

Darnell Mooney Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

San Francisco 49ers vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Darnell Mooney Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+305/-340).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -340 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -340.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect this game to have the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 131.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.8 plays per game.
  • The Atlanta Falcons offensive line grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • This year, the fierce San Francisco 49ers run defense has surrendered a measly 0.67 TDs on the ground per game to opposing squads: the 9th-best rate in the NFL.
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, San Francisco's group of CBs has been lousy this year, ranking as the worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Falcons to pass on 53.4% of their plays: the 5th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 4th-most run-oriented offense in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 48.5% red zone run rate.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game versus the 49ers defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.
  • The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has surrendered the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (61.3%) versus wide receivers this year (61.3%).

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