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Darnell Mooney

Darnell Mooney Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Atlanta Falcons vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Darnell Mooney Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+265/-305).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +265 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +265.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is implied by the Falcons being a -4.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • The Falcons have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 61.8 plays per game.
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.
  • With a high 18.2% Red Zone Target% (77th percentile) this year, Darnell Mooney stands among the WRs with the most usage near the end zone in the league.
  • In regards to air yards, Darnell Mooney ranks in the lofty 82nd percentile among WRs since the start of last season, totaling a superb 71.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Falcons to be the 2nd-least pass-focused offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 56.8% pass rate.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Atlanta Falcons are projected by the projection model to call only 61.6 total plays in this game: the lowest number on the slate this week.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 28.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Bills defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football.
  • Darnell Mooney's 48.4% Adjusted Completion% this season shows a noteworthy regression in his receiving skills over last season's 62.7% rate.
  • Opposing offenses have run for the 4th-most touchdowns in football (1.40 per game) versus the Buffalo Bills defense this year.

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