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Darnell Mooney

Darnell Mooney Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Darnell Mooney Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+335/-395).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +340 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +335.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Falcons, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
  • The model projects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 7th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.25 seconds per play.
  • The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Darnell Mooney has been an integral part of his team's offense near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 20.0% this year, which ranks in the 82nd percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • Darnell Mooney has accumulated a colossal 75.0 air yards per game this year: 82nd percentile among WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the least pass-heavy offense in football (55.3% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Falcons.
  • Darnell Mooney's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 62.7% to 42.1%.
  • This year, the formidable Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has surrendered a feeble 62.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 6th-smallest rate in the league.
  • The opposing side have rushed for the 8th-most touchdowns in the league (1.15 per game) against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year.
  • When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Tampa Bay's safety corps has been exceptional this year, projecting as the best in the league.

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