My Account Log Out
 
 
Darnell Mooney

Darnell Mooney Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Atlanta Falcons vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Darnell Mooney Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+325/-460).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -455 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -460.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread implies an extreme passing game script for the Falcons, who are heavy -7-point underdogs.
  • The leading projections forecast the Falcons as the 8th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 59.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.17 seconds per play.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Seahawks defense has been something of pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (39.5 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 3rd-most run-heavy offense in football in the red zone (51.0% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Atlanta Falcons.
  • Darnell Mooney's possession skills have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 62.7% to 43.0%.
  • The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (59%) vs. WRs this year (59.0%).

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™