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Darnell Mooney

Darnell Mooney Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Darnell Mooney Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+300/-365).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -335 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -365.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 142.5 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
  • The predictive model expects Darnell Mooney to be much more involved in his offense's air attack near the end zone in this contest (22.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (15.0% in games he has played).
  • After accumulating 73.0 air yards per game last year, Darnell Mooney has been rising this year, now averaging 84.0 per game.
  • Darnell Mooney has been in the 76th percentile when it comes to WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) with a superb 51.3 mark this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 2nd-least pass-focused team in football (56.0% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Atlanta Falcons.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 28.9 pass attempts per game vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the league.
  • Darnell Mooney's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 62.7% to 37.3%.
  • Darnell Mooney grades out in the 1st percentile among WRs as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a measly 0.00 per game.
  • The Saints defensive tackles rank as the 6th-worst collection of DTs in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

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