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Darnell Mooney Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

New England Patriots vs Atlanta Falcons

Darnell Mooney Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-190/+140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Falcons are a 5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.

The Falcons have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 59.0 plays per game.

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Falcons profiles as the 8th-best in the NFL this year.

This year, the feeble Patriots pass defense has conceded a staggering 68.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 8th-biggest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 3rd-least pass-focused offense in football (57.8% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Atlanta Falcons.

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Falcons are forecasted by the projection model to call just 62.4 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week.

Darnell Mooney's 83.4% Route Participation Rate this year represents a meaningful decline in his pass game workload over last year's 96.2% figure.

Darnell Mooney's 2.2 adjusted catches per game this season signifies a material decrease in his pass-catching ability over last season's 3.9 rate.

Darnell Mooney's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 62.7% to 46.3%.

More Darnell Mooney Player Props

Darnell Mooney ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 9

New England Patriots vs Atlanta Falcons

Darnell Mooney Receptions
Player Prop Week 9