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Darnell Mooney

Darnell Mooney Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Darnell Mooney Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+150/-200).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +155 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Falcons are enormous underdogs in this game, indicating much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.7 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
  • Darnell Mooney has run a route on 92.7% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 90th percentile when it comes to WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Falcons to pass on 61.4% of their chances: the 6th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • Darnell Mooney's 1.9 adjusted receptions per game this year indicates a noteworthy drop-off in his receiving talent over last year's 3.9 rate.
  • Darnell Mooney's receiving reliability have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 62.7% to 44.5%.
  • The Rams linebackers grade out as the 3rd-best LB corps in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

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