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Darnell Mooney

Darnell Mooney Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Arizona Cardinals vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Darnell Mooney Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+147/-189).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +146 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -189.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projections to have 135.3 total plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being projected in this game) generally lead to increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower ground volume.
  • With a sizeable 93.2% Route% (91st percentile) this year, Darnell Mooney rates as one of the wideouts with the highest volume in the league.
  • The Atlanta O-line grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • The Arizona Cardinals safeties profile as the 5th-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Falcons to be the 10th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 54.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Darnell Mooney's receiving talent has declined this year, compiling a mere 1.9 adjusted receptions vs 3.9 last year.
  • Darnell Mooney's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 62.7% to 42.8%.

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