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Darnell Mooney

Darnell Mooney Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

New York Jets vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Darnell Mooney Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-145/+110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to have 133.1 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.
  • The predictive model expects Darnell Mooney to earn 7.5 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 84th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • The projections expect Darnell Mooney to be a more important option in his offense's passing offense in this contest (24.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (18.8% in games he has played).
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Atlanta Falcons grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year.
  • As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, New York's unit has been very bad this year, projecting as the 7th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Falcons are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Atlanta Falcons to pass on 52.1% of their downs: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Darnell Mooney's 2.0 adjusted catches per game this season represents a material reduction in his pass-catching talent over last season's 3.9 rate.
  • Darnell Mooney's ball-catching skills have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 62.7% to 41.7%.

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