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Darnell Mooney

Darnell Mooney Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Darnell Mooney Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
  • Darnell Mooney has run a route on 92.5% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 89th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • In this contest, Darnell Mooney is anticipated by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 75th percentile among wideouts with 6.1 targets.
  • The Falcons O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • As it relates to linebackers getting after the quarterback, Carolina's group of LBs has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the 5th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is indicated by the Falcons being a 4.5-point favorite in this game.
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to pass on 55.7% of their plays: the 10th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect the Falcons to call the 9th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • Darnell Mooney's pass-catching performance diminished this season, accumulating just 1.8 adjusted receptions compared to 3.9 last season.
  • Darnell Mooney's 38.5% Adjusted Catch% this season illustrates a meaningful reduction in his receiving talent over last season's 62.7% figure.

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