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Darnell Mooney

Darnell Mooney Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Indianapolis Colts vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Darnell Mooney Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-175/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -175.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Falcons are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 5th-most in the league.
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Falcons grades out as the 9th-best in football this year.
  • This year, the anemic Indianapolis Colts pass defense has conceded a colossal 69.9% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 3rd-biggest rate in the league.
  • The Indianapolis Colts linebackers project as the worst collection of LBs in football this year in defending receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Falcons to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.9% pass rate.
  • The leading projections forecast the Falcons to run the 8th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.7 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • Darnell Mooney's 44.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 52.4.
  • Darnell Mooney's 1.7 adjusted receptions per game this year marks a material diminishment in his receiving proficiency over last year's 3.9 figure.
  • Darnell Mooney's ball-catching skills have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 62.7% to 48.2%.

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