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Darnell Mooney

Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons

Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Falcons since the start of last season (a colossal 59.7 per game on average).

Darnell Mooney has run a route on 96.4% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, placing him in the 97th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

When talking about air yards, Darnell Mooney grades out in the lofty 82nd percentile among wideouts since the start of last season, accumulating a striking 72.0 per game.

Darnell Mooney comes in as one of the best wide receivers in the game since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 56.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 80th percentile.

With a stellar 9.2 adjusted yards per target (75th percentile) since the start of last season, Darnell Mooney has been as one of the top wide receivers in the league in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Falcons, who are favored by 4.5 points.

The model projects the Falcons as the 4th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 51.2% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see just 121.5 plays on offense run: the lowest number on the slate this week.

The Falcons have played in the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which should mean reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier weather in this game.

Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Carolina Panthers, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 30.6 per game) since the start of last season.

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