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Darnell Mooney

Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Falcons are enormous underdogs in this game, indicating much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.7 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
  • Darnell Mooney has run a route on 92.7% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 90th percentile when it comes to WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Falcons to pass on 61.4% of their chances: the 6th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • Darnell Mooney's 27.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season conveys a meaningful regression in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 58.0 figure.
  • Darnell Mooney's receiving reliability have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 62.7% to 44.5%.
  • Darnell Mooney's pass-game efficiency has diminished this season, totaling just 6.37 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 9.31 rate last season.
  • Darnell Mooney's ability to generate extra yardage has diminished this season, totaling just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 4.22 rate last season.

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