My Account Log Out
 
 
Darnell Mooney

Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Arizona Cardinals vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-113/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projections to have 135.3 total plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being projected in this game) generally lead to increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower ground volume.
  • With a sizeable 93.2% Route% (91st percentile) this year, Darnell Mooney rates as one of the wideouts with the highest volume in the league.
  • As it relates to air yards, Darnell Mooney grades out in the lofty 82nd percentile among WRs this year, accruing a staggering 76.0 per game.
  • The Atlanta O-line grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Falcons to be the 10th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 54.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Darnell Mooney has accrued significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (28.0) this year than he did last year (58.0).
  • Darnell Mooney's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 62.7% to 42.8%.
  • Darnell Mooney's 6.2 adjusted yards per target this season reflects a noteworthy decline in his receiving prowess over last season's 9.3 figure.
  • Darnell Mooney's ability to pick up extra yardage has declined this year, compiling just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 4.22 mark last year.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™