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Darnell Mooney

Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Falcons, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
  • The model projects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 7th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.25 seconds per play.
  • The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Darnell Mooney has run a route on 93.1% of his offense's passing plays this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers.
  • In this week's contest, Darnell Mooney is anticipated by the projections to land in the 79th percentile among wideouts with 6.8 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the least pass-heavy offense in football (55.3% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Falcons.
  • Darnell Mooney's 29.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year represents a meaningful regression in his receiving ability over last year's 58.0 figure.
  • Darnell Mooney's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 62.7% to 42.1%.
  • Darnell Mooney's 6.1 adjusted yards per target this season signifies a meaningful regression in his receiving ability over last season's 9.3 mark.
  • Darnell Mooney's talent in grinding out extra yardage have declined this year, notching a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 4.22 figure last year.

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