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Darnell Mooney

Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

New York Jets vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-113/+101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 42.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 44.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to have 133.1 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.
  • The predictive model expects Darnell Mooney to earn 7.5 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 84th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • The projections expect Darnell Mooney to be a more important option in his offense's passing offense in this contest (24.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (18.8% in games he has played).
  • After totaling 73.0 air yards per game last season, Darnell Mooney has seen a big uptick this season, currently boasting 82.0 per game.
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Atlanta Falcons grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Falcons are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Atlanta Falcons to pass on 52.1% of their downs: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Darnell Mooney's 29.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season represents a noteworthy regression in his receiving talent over last season's 58.0 rate.
  • Darnell Mooney's ball-catching skills have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 62.7% to 41.7%.
  • Darnell Mooney's 6.1 adjusted yards per target this season indicates a material diminishment in his receiving prowess over last season's 9.3 mark.

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