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Darnell Mooney

Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

New York Giants vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (+102/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -132.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bears are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
  • Darnell Mooney has run a route on 93.3% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 93rd percentile among WRs.
  • Darnell Mooney has accumulated a colossal 81.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 86th percentile among wideouts.
  • Darnell Mooney has been among the leading WRs in the league since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 52.0 yards per game while ranking in the 80th percentile.
  • The New York Giants pass defense has yielded the 7th-highest Completion% in the NFL (67.9%) to WRs since the start of last season (67.9%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chicago Bears will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 6.2% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the 2nd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 46.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears offense as the 6th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.41 seconds per snap.
  • The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Darnell Mooney's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 59.7% to 38.1%.

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