Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Darnell Mooney

NFL · Player Props

Darnell Mooney

WR · Chicago Bears

Receiving Yards

New York Giants vs Chicago Bears · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 7:25 PM EST

Analysis

Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (+102/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bears are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
Darnell Mooney has run a route on 93.3% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 93rd percentile among WRs.
Darnell Mooney has accumulated a colossal 81.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 86th percentile among wideouts.
Darnell Mooney has been among the leading WRs in the league since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 52.0 yards per game while ranking in the 80th percentile.
The New York Giants pass defense has yielded the 7th-highest Completion% in the NFL (67.9%) to WRs since the start of last season (67.9%).

Favors Under

The Chicago Bears will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 6.2% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the 2nd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 46.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears offense as the 6th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.41 seconds per snap.
The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
Darnell Mooney's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 59.7% to 38.1%.

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