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Darius Slayton

Darius Slayton Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

New York Giants vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Darius Slayton Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+270/-290).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +275 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +270.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 137.7 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Giants have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.6 plays per game.
  • The projections expect Darius Slayton to be a more integral piece of his offense's air attack near the goal line this week (18.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (5.7% in games he has played).
  • The New York Giants O-line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • Darius Slayton's 62.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this season conveys a remarkable growth in his receiving skills over last season's 55.9% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Giants to pass on 53.7% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Giants to be the 9th-most run-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 45.9% red zone run rate.
  • After accruing 63.0 air yards per game last season, Darius Slayton has undergone a big decline this season, currently sitting at 54.0 per game.
  • Darius Slayton's 32.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 40.9.
  • With a dreadful ratio of just 0.00 per game through the air (1st percentile), Darius Slayton has been as one of the weakest receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL when it comes to WRs this year.

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