|
|
Darius Slayton Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+365/-510).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +490 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +365.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
|
|
The Giants are a huge 7-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme passing game script.Our trusted projections expect the Giants offense to be the 2nd-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.48 seconds per play.The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may go down.While Darius Slayton has been responsible for 6.5% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a much bigger part of New York's offense near the end zone in this week's contest at 14.8%.In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the New York Giants grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
|
|
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Giants to pass on 54.1% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.At the moment, the 10th-most run-focused offense in the league near the end zone (46.2% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the New York Giants.After accumulating 63.0 air yards per game last year, Darius Slayton has seen a big decline this year, currently sitting at 50.0 per game.Darius Slayton's 29.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 40.9.With an awful rate of just 0.00 per game through the air (1st percentile), Darius Slayton has been as one of the weakest receiving TD-scorers in the league among wideouts this year.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
