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Darius Slayton

Darius Slayton Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Darius Slayton Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+295/-355).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +405 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +295.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect this game to see the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 139.7 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The New York Giants have called the 5th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.5 plays per game.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
  • While Darius Slayton has been responsible for 8.3% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more important option in New York's offense near the end zone in this week's game at 21.4%.
  • As it relates to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Giants ranks as the 7th-best in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the New York Giants to be the 5th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 54.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • At the moment, the 9th-most run-centric offense in football near the goal line (45.8% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the New York Giants.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 28.0 pass attempts per game versus the Saints defense this year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.
  • Darius Slayton has notched significantly fewer air yards this season (36.0 per game) than he did last season (63.0 per game).
  • Darius Slayton's 24.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 40.9.

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