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Darius Slayton

Darius Slayton Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

New England Patriots vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Darius Slayton Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+405/-465).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -440 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -465.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -7-point disadvantage, the Giants are enormous underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their typical game plan.
  • The Giants have called the 3rd-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 61.0 plays per game.
  • While Darius Slayton has garnered 6.2% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much more involved in New York's passing attack near the end zone this week at 13.4%.
  • The New York Giants offensive line grades out as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.
  • Darius Slayton's 67.7% Adjusted Completion% this season reflects a meaningful gain in his receiving proficiency over last season's 55.9% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New York Giants to pass on 55.1% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the New York Giants to be the 9th-most run-oriented offense in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 47.1% red zone run rate.
  • The projections expect the Giants to run the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.0 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • Darius Slayton has accrued quite a few less air yards this year (57.0 per game) than he did last year (63.0 per game).
  • The receiving TD line reads "0" on the back of Darius Slayton's trading card this year.

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