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Darius Slayton

Darius Slayton Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Chicago Bears vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Darius Slayton Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+295/-345).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -335 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -345.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line indicates a passing game script for the Giants, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
  • The projections expect this game to have the most plays run on the slate this week at 135.7 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Giants this year (a monstrous 58.9 per game on average).
  • The projections expect Darius Slayton to be a much bigger part of his team's passing offense near the goal line in this contest (19.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (7.9% in games he has played).
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Giants ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Giants to pass on 52.7% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The weather forecast calls for 22-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Chicago Bears, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.4 per game) this year.
  • The receiving TD column reads "0" on Darius Slayton's player page this year.

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