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Darius Slayton

Darius Slayton Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

New York Giants vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Darius Slayton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+125/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New York Giants may pass less in this game (and hand the ball off more) because they be forced to use backup QB Jameis Winston.
  • At a -7-point disadvantage, the Giants are big underdogs this week, indicating much more of a reliance on throwing than their usual approach.
  • The Giants have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 59.7 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
  • With an impressive 82.6% snap rate (84th percentile) this year, Darius Slayton has been as one of the RBs with the most usage in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 5th-least pass-centric offense in the league (58.9% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Giants.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to have 131.1 plays on offense called: the 5th-highest number among all games this week.
  • When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Green Bay's group of safeties has been very good this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the league.

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