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Darius Slayton

Darius Slayton Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Darius Slayton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-250/+185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -200 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +185.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Giants are a 6-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the New York Giants to be the 8th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 59.2% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.6 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • Darius Slayton has played on 83.3% of his offense's snaps last year, placing him in the 86th percentile among wide receivers.
  • The Washington cornerbacks grade out as the 4th-worst CB corps in the NFL last year in defending pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 28.9 pass attempts per game against the Commanders defense last year: 3rd-fewest in football.
  • The New York O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in football last year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • With a lackluster 55.8% Adjusted Catch% (12th percentile) last year, Darius Slayton stands as one of the worst possession receivers in the NFL when it comes to wide receivers.
  • The Commanders pass defense has yielded the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (62.8%) to wideouts last year (62.8%).

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