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Darius Slayton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-118/-110).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -118.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Giants are a 5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Giants to pass on 59.7% of their opportunities: the 10th-highest rate on the slate this week.The 10th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the New York Giants since the start of last season (a massive 58.7 per game on average).This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.Darius Slayton has been on the field for 84.2% of his offense's snaps since the start of last season, ranking him in the 88th percentile among wide receivers.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to see just 125.3 plays on offense run: the lowest number out of all the games this week.Opposing offenses teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Cowboys, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in the league (just 29.4 per game) since the start of last season.The New York offensive line ranks as the 8th-worst in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all air attack stats across the board.Darius Slayton ranks as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the league, hauling in a mere 55.1% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 8th percentile among wideoutsWith a feeble 7.7 adjusted yards per target (23rd percentile) since the start of last season, Darius Slayton has been as one of the weakest wide receivers in the NFL in the league.
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