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Darius Slayton

Darius Slayton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

New York Giants vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Darius Slayton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 46.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 42.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New York Giants may pass less in this game (and hand the ball off more) because they be forced to use backup QB Jameis Winston.
  • At a -7-point disadvantage, the Giants are big underdogs this week, indicating much more of a reliance on throwing than their usual approach.
  • The Giants have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 59.7 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
  • With an impressive 82.6% snap rate (84th percentile) this year, Darius Slayton has been as one of the RBs with the most usage in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 5th-least pass-centric offense in the league (58.9% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Giants.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to have 131.1 plays on offense called: the 5th-highest number among all games this week.
  • Darius Slayton's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year represents a material regression in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last year's 3.2% figure.
  • The Green Bay Packers pass defense has displayed good efficiency versus wide receivers this year, surrendering 7.52 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-fewest in the NFL.
  • When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Green Bay's group of safeties has been very good this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the league.

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