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Darius Slayton

Darius Slayton Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 7

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New York Giants

Darius Slayton Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+369/-744).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -703 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -744.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Giants are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 10th-fastest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 27.91 seconds per play.

Darius Slayton's ball-catching skills have been refined this season, with his Completion% increasing from 46.0% to 68.5%.

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has conceded the 7th-most TDs through the air in the NFL to WRs: 1.17 per game this year.

The Jacksonville Jaguars safeties project as the 7th-worst group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Darius Slayton to be a less important option in his team's passing offense near the goal line this week (11.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (17.6% in games he has played).

Darius Slayton has accrued far fewer air yards this year (33.0 per game) than he did last year (57.0 per game).

Darius Slayton's 28.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 37.2.

The New York Giants O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

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