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Dante Pettis

Dante Pettis Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Tennessee Titans vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Dante Pettis Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+750/-800).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +990 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +750.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Saints to run the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The 5th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Saints this year (a whopping 60.1 per game on average).
  • While Dante Pettis has been responsible for 0.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more important option in New Orleans's passing offense near the end zone this week at 8.1%.
  • The New Orleans offensive line grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • This year, the deficient Titans pass defense has yielded a colossal 71.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the biggest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Saints to pass on 52.5% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The weatherman calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Dante Pettis has posted far fewer air yards this season (6.0 per game) than he did last season (35.0 per game).
  • Dante Pettis's 3.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 25.0.
  • With a poor 50.7% Adjusted Completion% (22nd percentile) since the start of last season, Dante Pettis places among the least sure-handed receivers in football among WRs.

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