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Dante Pettis

Dante Pettis Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Tennessee Titans vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Dante Pettis Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Saints to run the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The 5th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Saints this year (a whopping 60.1 per game on average).
  • The predictive model expects Dante Pettis to be a more integral piece of his offense's passing attack this week (8.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (1.2% in games he has played).
  • The New Orleans offensive line grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • This year, the deficient Titans pass defense has yielded a colossal 71.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the biggest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Saints to pass on 52.5% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The weatherman calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • With a poor 50.7% Adjusted Completion% (22nd percentile) since the start of last season, Dante Pettis places among the least sure-handed receivers in football among WRs.

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