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Dante Pettis

Dante Pettis Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Dante Pettis Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-111/-111).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Saints offensive scheme to tilt 1.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized) with head coach Kellen Moore now calling the plays.
  • This week's line indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the predictive model to see 137.6 plays on offense called: the highest number among all games this week.
  • The 10th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Saints this year (a monstrous 59.2 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing teams teams have been wary to pass too much against the Atlanta Falcons, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 31.9 per game) this year.
  • After totaling 35.0 air yards per game last season, Dante Pettis has been a disappointment this season, currently boasting 14.0 per game.
  • Dante Pettis ranks as one of the bottom WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 17.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 25th percentile among wideouts.
  • With a poor 53.5% Adjusted Catch% (23rd percentile) since the start of last season, Dante Pettis ranks among the least sure-handed receivers in football among wideouts.
  • With a poor 6.3 adjusted yards per target (22nd percentile) since the start of last season, Dante Pettis has been among the weakest WRs in the NFL in the league.

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