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Dante Pettis

Dante Pettis Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

New Orleans Saints vs Las Vegas Raiders

Dante Pettis Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to have 138.8 total plays run: the highest number among all games this week.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down.

As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Las Vegas's group of LBs has been dreadful this year, profiling as the 2nd-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the New Orleans Saints as the 10th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 54.7% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

With a sizeable 24.9% snap rate (19th percentile) this year, Dante Pettis stands among the RBs with the highest volume in the NFL.

The New Orleans Saints O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all pass game metrics across the board.

With a poor 13.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (13th percentile) this year, Dante Pettis ranks as one of the bottom wide receivers in the game in football.

Dante Pettis grades out as one of the most unreliable receivers in football, completing just 48.7% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 17th percentile among wideouts

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