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Dante Pettis

Dante Pettis Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Green Bay Packers vs New Orleans Saints

Dante Pettis Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -129.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Saints are a huge 14.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Saints to run the most total plays on the slate this week with 69.8 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may drop.

Opposing teams have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 9th-most in football.

The leading projections forecast Dante Pettis to be much more involved in his team's passing offense in this week's contest (15.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (7.3% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the least pass-oriented team in football (55.3% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Saints.

The Saints O-line ranks as the worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

With a lackluster 9.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (9th percentile) this year, Dante Pettis ranks among the weakest WRs in the NFL in football.

Dante Pettis comes in as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the league, hauling in a mere 50.8% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 20th percentile among wide receivers

With a poor 4.5 adjusted yards per target (12th percentile) this year, Dante Pettis has been as one of the worst pass-catching wide receivers in the NFL.

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