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Daniel Jones Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

Los Angeles Chargers vs Indianapolis Colts

Daniel Jones Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+285/-330).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -320 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -330.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may suffer.

The Indianapolis offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

Daniel Jones's throwing accuracy has been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 63.4% to 69.7%.

The Chargers defensive tackles project as the best collection of DTs in the NFL this year with their run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 3rd-most run-oriented team in the NFL in the red zone (50.5% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Colts.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the projections to have only 126.9 offensive plays run: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.

Daniel Jones isn't afraid to call his own number near the end zone, accounting for 15.4% of his team's red zone carries this year (87th percentile among QBs).

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 2nd-lowest rate in the league vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year (64.1% Adjusted Completion%).

The Chargers defense has conceded the 3rd-fewest touchdowns through the air in football: 0.83 per game this year.

More Daniel Jones Player Props

Daniel Jones TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 7

Los Angeles Chargers vs Indianapolis Colts

Daniel Jones Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7