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Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Indianapolis Colts vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Daniel Jones Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+184/-240).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +250 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +184.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Colts to run the 9th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 43.4 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense this year: most in football.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year.
  • Daniel Jones's passing precision has improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 63.4% to 69.6%.
  • The running TD line reads "0" on the back of Daniel Jones's trading card this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Colts, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts as the 2nd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 53.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 2nd-most run-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 51.0% red zone run rate.
  • In this week's contest, Daniel Jones is forecasted by our trusted projection set to total the 4th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 33.1.
  • Daniel Jones isn't afraid to run the ball himself near the goal line, accounting for 18.2% of his team's red zone run game usage this year (90th percentile among QBs).

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